Divine Neutrality

The essential premise: Prosperity is desirable.

Austerity is undesirable. Everyone wants prosperity. Austerity brings violence and unrest.

What is prosperity?

Prosperity is the ability to buy what you need – or what you may not need.

It is everyones desire – this ability to buy what you need.

When there is much buying and selling we have prosperity. Those are times when people are employed. They sell their time and buy goods and services with their earnings. Thus causing other people to be employed and, themselves, to buy things. Prosperity is connected to economic activity; the vigorous exchange of goods and services.

To be able to buy things is the ultimate measure of prosperity. So to ask for prosperity is to ask for economic activity.

Of course, the benefits of economic activity may not fall equally on all, but those who prosper do so from economic activity. Governments try to create prosperity. Adversity drives Governments from office.

Fundamental equation:

spending minus revenue = deficit = must be borrowed

Any government – municipal, national – is an economic unit. During the year it spends an amount called ‘spending’. The taxes and the fees it collects are its ‘revenue’. The difference between these two is called the ‘deficit’. A negative deficit is called a surplus.

The deficit is the amount of money that must be borrowed in order for the government to pay its spending bills for that year.

Government borrowing takes the form of bonds. These are promissory notes sold on the open market. In the U.S. all such borrowing is done only with the consent of the electorate. It is we who permit government to borrow; either directly, by vote on a bond issue, or indirectly as when Congress raises the Debt Limit.

Fact: Spending increases prosperity.

Government spending increases economic activity just as the spending on goods and services of any other economic unit does. The government creates jobs via the contracts it lets out to private contractors. Because the government purchases them, goods and services are produced. People are employed. This increases their ability to buy. Prosperity is fostered by government spending. Thus spending cuts decrease prosperity.

Fact: Deficits destroy prosperity – eventually.

A continuing deficit means more borrowing each year. What is paid as interest on past debt – the debt burden – mounts. The mounting debt burden makes lenders, from whom the deficit money is borrowed, wary. They stop lending. Not being able to borrow, the government will not be able to pay its bills. Thus will its spending be forcefully curtailed and austerity ensue.

Continued prosperity demands:

since spending increases prosperity,
1. that spending not be cut and

since deficits destroy prosperity,
2. that the deficit be erased

Is continued prosperity then possible?

The answer requires attention to the third term of the Fundamental Equation: revenue. According to that equation the deficit can, indeed, be erased and spending not be cut. It’s possible if revenue is sufficiently increased. i.e. if new taxes are imposed to furnish that increased revenue.

Suspect premise: Taxes decrease prosperity.

This premise is widely held. It’s expressed in the slogan, “No new taxes”. The rationale for this premise is simple: A tax is money removed from earnings. I’m left with less to buy with. My prosperity is decreased.

That’s the rationale.

My prosperity is, indeed, decreased but the general prosperity is not decreased! The government spends that money on goods and services, albeit not the ones I might have chosen to spend my money on. So general economic activity is maintained and thus so is general prosperity.

More interesting is this: When I am taxed more, I buy less. Not everyone, who is taxed more, buys less. Some, when taxed more, simply own less. Their buying continues unabated. These are people most of whose income feeds a portfolio of investments – money itself earning money. Their income is sufficiently large that spending on goods and services is little affected by taxes. The wealthy don’t buy less when they are taxed more.

So increasing revenue by taxing investment – capital gains – far from decreasing prosperity, actually contributes to it! Money that the tax payer didn’t spend on goods and services is spent on goods and services by the Government. Taxing capital gains augments economic activity. It swells general prosperity.

So increasing taxes (government revenue) can both erase the deficit and preserve general prosperity.

It is best done by taxing earnings that are not directly spent on goods and services. Taxing portfolios of ownership holdings. Taxing capital gains. The current 15% capital gains tax should be raised to 85%. Taxing wealth. What is required is a severe skewing of the tax schedule. Tax those who can best afford to pay taxes; those who use only little of their income for spending.

The wise among the wealthy will know that this is the best way to preserve their wealth against the threat of anarchy that public austerity always poses. But wealthy or not, to save prosperity we must tax ourselves.